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Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures may retest the bottom

WTI oil futures may retest the bottom as bearish bias holds.

WTI oil futures for November delivery turned indecisive after failing to pierce the floor around the 23.6% Fibonacci of the down-leg from 76.87 to 42.53 last week.

The short-term bias, on the other hand, remains negative as the price is trending below its moving averages, the RSI is showing no improvement below its 50 neutral level, and the MACD keeps strengthening under its red signal line.

A breach of the 23.6% Fibonacci of 50.87 could initially stall near 49.40 and then around the 47.00 level, but it would turn the neutral medium-term picture to a negative one. Additional losses may also retest the 1 ½ -year low of 42.53 and any violation of this would put the market back on a downtrend.

On the upside, the bulls would try to overcome the 38.2% and 50.0% Fibonacci levels at 55.76 and 59.81 respectively. However, only a decisive rally above the 63.84-64.70 area would keep buyers engaged, while a closing price above the 66.57 top could add more fuel to the bullish action, shifting attention straight to the 70.00 level. The latter would also reactivate positive sentiment in the medium-term timeframe.

Summarising, WTI oil futures could re-challenge the 50.87 key support as downside risks remain in play. Should the market clear that bottom, the bearish outlook would stretch to the medium-term timeframe too.


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This information is not considered as investment advice or investment recommendation but instead a marketing communication. This material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and that it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

Source: XM

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