CAD/JPY squeezed by Bollinger band; strong movement is expected.

CAD/JPY has been finding strong support on the bullish cross of the 20- and 40-day simple moving averages (SMA) since the beginning of this month, creating a narrow sideways move above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 89.25 to 76.60, near 82.90.

Having a look at the momentum indicators, the RSI is pointing up above the neutral threshold of 50 and the MACD is hovering marginally above the trigger and zero lines. Also, the price action holds above the mid-level of the Bollinger band, creating a short-term trading range between the 38.2% Fibonacci of 81.42 and the 61.8% Fibonacci of 84.40. It is worth mentioning that the Bollinger bands are narrowing, approaching the price action, suggesting a possible strong movement in the near future.

An advance above the 84.00 level and the upper Bollinger Band, which stands near the 61.8% Fibonacci, could open the door for bullish actions towards the 85.25 resistance. Even higher, resistance would be faced around the 86.25 level, registered on March 1.

However, a significant step lower, below the 20- and 40-SMAs as well as beneath the 50.0% Fibonacci of 82.90 could push the price until the lower Bollinger band of 82.50. More declines could find support at the 38.2% Fibonacci of 81.42.


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This information is not considered as investment advice or investment recommendation but instead a marketing communication. This material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and that it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

Source: XM

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