GBP/JPY loses ground; neutral in the near term.
GBP/JPY had another bearish start on Friday, with the price breaking the crucial 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 132.48 to 148.85, around 145.00. The technical indicators in the 4-hour chart are endorsing this view, with the RSI reversing back down to its 30 oversold level and the MACD keep stretching in negative area and below its trigger line. Also, the price is trading well below the Ichimoku cloud and particularly below the red-Tenkan sen line, suggesting more losses ahead.
The more southward movement could meet the 144.10 support area, taken from the latest low. A failure to hold above this level could open the way towards the 143.70 area which if broken could trigger a more aggressive sell-off towards the 38.2% Fibonacci of 142.60.
In the positive scenario, an improvement has the potential to retest the blue Kijun-Sen line and the lower band of the Ichimoku cloud near 146.25, while slightly above this hurdle the 20-simple moving average (SMA) currently at 146.53, could be also in focus. Further up, the 147.00 level and the 40-SMA around 147.20 could halt upside movements as well.
Summarising, looking over the market’s last one-month performance, the pair has been neutral within the 148.40 resistance and the 143.70 support levels, while in the bigger picture, GBP/JPY remains bullish.
All trading involves risk. It is possible to lose all your capital.
This information is not considered as investment advice or investment recommendation but instead a marketing communication. This material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and that it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.