USD/CHF takes the back seat after hitting 20-month highs.
USD/CHF topped at 1.009 on Wednesday, at the highest since March 2017, but with the RSI in the four-hour chart fluctuating near its 70 overbought level in the past couple of days, chances for a downside reversal were high and thus the price pulled back today. The indicator is currently a shy above its 50-neutral mark, signaling that the market might consolidate in the coming sessions. Yet the MACD continues to weaken below its red signal line, suggesting that weakness might persist.
Should the price head lower, immediate support could come in the crossroads of the 50-period moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci of the up-leg from 0.984 to 1.009, around 0.999. Note that the 50-period MA provided a significant support to downside movements on October 28, near 0.996 and slightly below the 50% Fibonacci. Beneath the 50% Fibonacci level, a stronger wall could be found around 0.994, which strictly restricted bearish and bullish corrections during October. A decisive close below that level would brush away any buying interest, turning the market into neutral again.
On the flip side, a rebound above the 23.6% Fibonacci of 1.003, could stretch until the 1.009 top. If this proves an easy obstacle, bullish actions may continue up to 1.017 the peak on March 2017. Even higher the door may open for the 1.024 resistance.
All trading involves risk. It is possible to lose all your capital
This information is not considered as investment advice or investment recommendation but instead a marketing communication. This material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and that it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.